Pickands型推广估计量的渐近正态性

极值指数在许多实际领域广泛应用:如组合投资、风险值的计算、预报地震等, 估计极值指数γ以及它的性质的研究近年来成为极值统计理论的基本问题。主要研究极值指数γ的一个估计量:Pickands型推广估计量的渐近正态性质。首先研究由Pickands型推广估计量构成的一随机过程,得到了该过程的渐近分布;然后利用研究结果证明了Pickands 型推广估计量的渐近正态性,得到其渐近方差;最后对提出的Pickands型推广估计的平滑估计量进行了相应研究。     

On lifetimes in random environments

For a component operating in random environment, whose hazard rate is assumed to be the realization of a suitable increasing stochastic process, conditions are found such that its lifetime is increasing in likelihood ratio (ILR). For the lifetimes of two components of the same kind some comparisons based on partial stochastic orders are presented. Some applications to the case of repairable components are finally provided. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 365–375, 1998     

关于稳定 p 型 Banach 空间中有界 Borel测度的一个定理

本文推广了Ｅ．Ｄｅｔｔｗｅｉｌｅｒ［１］关于ｐ型Ｂａｎａｃｈ空间的结论,得到了在稳定ｐ型Ｂａｎａｃｈ空间上,有界Ｂｏｒｅｌ测度为某个无穷可分ｐ稳定测度的Ｌｅｖｙ测度的一个充分条件。     

坦克推进系统分段寿命试验统计分析

本文用生存分析方法,对坦克分段寿命试验进行了统计分析,并从理论上说明了坦克分段寿命试验的合理性.     

波速测量层合复合材料冲击损伤实验

在层合复合材料横向冲击试验中,用应变片记录层合板表层在冲击过程中的应变响应,根据波的传播理论和连续损伤力学,从波速变化间接测得冲击下材料的损伤及损伤率。通过实验测得玻璃纤维／环氧（ＧＥ）正交层合板的动态损伤阈值,并证实了ＧＥ复合材料在拉伸阶段比在压缩阶段有更快的损伤扩展速率     

舰船航行监控变量的微机产生方法研究

通过建立舰船航行监控变量的数学模型,提出了一种基于微机的产生舰船航行监控变量的实现方法,经过实际运用表明,能有效地监视和实时控制舰船航行．     

球头弹低速斜侵彻下薄板穿甲破坏机理研究

为探讨球头弹低速斜侵彻下靶板的破坏机理,通过系列弹道试验,对比分析了不同初始速度下弹体的变形,靶板的破坏模式,以及靶板的破口大小及形状；同时采用ANSYS/LS-DYNA对弹靶作用过程进行了数值模拟。结果表明：低速斜侵彻下靶板响应非完全对称,根据受力特征可将靶板划分为四个不同区域,即接触区,弯曲区,拉伸区和对称区；薄板的穿甲破坏可分为四个不同的阶段,即隆起变形,碟形变形,弯曲变形,弹体贯穿阶段；不同初始速度下靶板出现四种典型的穿甲破坏模式,随着初始速度的增加依次为隆起—碟形变形,隆起—碟形变形—拉弯撕裂破坏,隆起—碟形变形—拉弯剪切破坏,隆起—拉弯剪切破坏。斜侵彻下靶板破口形状为椭圆形,随着初始速度的增加,破口长径不断减小,形状由椭圆形向卵形过渡。     

球头弹低速斜侵彻下靶板穿甲破坏机理

为探讨球头弹低速斜侵彻下靶板的破坏机理,通过系列弹道试验,对比分析不同初始速度下弹体的变形、靶板的破坏模式以及靶板的破口大小和形状;同时采用ANSYS/LS-DYNA对弹靶作用过程进行数值模拟。结果表明:低速斜侵彻下靶板响应非完全对称,根据受力特征可将靶板划分为四个不同区域,即接触区、弯曲区、拉伸区、对称区;薄板的穿甲破坏可分为四个不同的阶段,即隆起变形、碟形变形、弯曲变形、弹体贯穿阶段;不同初始速度下靶板出现四种典型的穿甲破坏模式,随着初始速度的增加依次为隆起—碟形变形、隆起—碟形变形—拉弯撕裂破坏、隆起—碟形变形—拉弯剪切破坏、隆起—拉弯剪切破坏。斜侵彻下靶板破口形状为椭圆形,随着初始速度的增加,破口长径不断减小,形状由椭圆形向卵形过渡。     

一种消除直线永磁无刷直流电机边端效应对换相时机影响的方法

电磁弹射用直线永磁无刷直流电机的永磁体动子具有开断结构,使动子边端的磁场分布发生变形。当采用霍尔元件检测磁场实现换相时,这种边端效应就会影响换相时机。分析了这类电机的换相机理和动子开断结构对换相时机的影响,指出这类边端效应受极弧系数影响显著,并提出了利用不对称滞环比较器或简易单限比较器对霍尔输出信号进行处理从而消除这类边端效应影响的方法,实验验证了简易单限比较器方案的可行性。     

When are observed failures more informative than observed survivals?

A framework involving independent competing risks permits observing failures due to a specific cause and failures due to a competing cause, which constitute survival times from the cause of primary interest. Is observing more failures more informative than observing survivals? Intuitively, due to the definitiveness of failures, the answer seems to be the former. However, it has been shown before that this intuition holds when estimating the mean but not the failure rate of the exponential model with a gamma prior distribution for the failure rate. In this article, we address this question at a more general level. We show that for a certain class of distributions failures can be more informative than survivals for prediction of life length and vice versa for some others. We also show that for a large class of lifetime models, failure is less informative than survival for estimating the proportional hazards parameter with gamma, Jeffreys, and uniform priors. We further show that, for this class of lifetime models, on average, failure is more informative than survival for parameter estimation and for prediction. These results imply that the inferential purpose and properties of the lifetime distribution are germane for conducting life tests. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013